Election Results Game Thread

[sdoyel]

Trump campaign files lawsuit to stop counting ballots in Michigan.

LOL

[NewtonHawk11]

Arizona still has 600k votes to count. Approximately 250k of those are early ballots. Biden has to win a big amount of the early and split the in-person.

[sdoyel]

[pdub]

You would like to know, wouldn't you?

Yes, that's why I asked.

[sdoyel]

Didnt Fox News call Arizona?

[Mjl]

As Lob so eloquently stated multiple times last night.

It’s over.

Trump has to win all remaining states on the board.

I don't think it's over.

It depends on the outstanding ballots. Early mail votes were heavily D, but I read somewhere that the late arriving have been R.

Seems like a lot of urban ballots remaining in MI and NV. But, it sure is hard to tell what is still out there this year.

I am concerned about Maricopa having so much outstanding. The fact they are Biden actually has me more concerned than if he was down there since they're historically red. Either it's because suburbs have shifted so much for Biden, or a demographic change there, or it's because all the early mail-in vote was already counted. It's that last one that concerns me.

[Mjl]

Arizona still has 600k votes to count. Approximately 250k of those are early ballots. Biden has to win a big amount of the early and split the in-person.

He's not going to split the in-person. This is going to be super close.

[CrimsonNBlue]

I don't think it's over.

It depends on the outstanding ballots. Early mail votes were heavily D, but I read somewhere that the late arriving have been R.

Seems like a lot of urban ballots remaining in MI and NV. But, it sure is hard to tell what is still out there this year.

I am concerned about Maricopa having so much outstanding. The fact they are Biden actually has me more concerned than if he was down there since they're historically red. Either it's because suburbs have shifted so much for Biden, or a demographic change there, or it's because all the early mail-in vote was already counted. It's that last one that concerns me.

Definitely understand. Not sure why Fox projected AZ so early.

I'm quite familiar with Phoenix and its certainly a changing demographic and getting younger. The Mark Kelly vote is pretty telling but this shift has been evidenced since at least 2018.

And, still outstanding in Pima, which will always be dark blue.

[sdoyel]

[pdub]

Arizona still has 600k votes to count. Approximately 250k of those are early ballots. Biden has to win a big amount of the early and split the in-person.

Biden is leading by 94k.
If he split the rest of the votes, early and in-person, he'd win.
Trump would need 348k+ of those 600k votes or 58%.

450,000 of those votes are from Maricopa County which voted 49% Trump in 16.
If that % remains the same ( and i'd think it would be lower this time around ) that's 220,000 votes.
With 150,000 votes remaining, Trump would need 128,000 of them, or 85% of them.
Mohave county was the most red in Zona last election at 74%.

[pdub]

Trump gets Maine's 2nd.

[sdoyel]

Trump gets Maine's 2nd.

Yep. Not going to matter though.

[sdoyel]

[Walrus]

There was an issue in Arizona with sharpie votes not being counted. That vote is likely to face a recount if it does not go to Trump. Here's a pollster burning some Trump votes in Arizona.

[NewtonHawk11]

It’s been determined already that the sharpies have no influence either way. FOH with that bullshit.

[NewtonHawk11]

[jhawks99]

"They" gave us pens to use in KY. And made us keep them.

[Cascadia]

Lobster is always at least 12 hours behind

[pdub]

The Anti Neo Con report is on the case.

[pdub]

AP reporting 99% of votes are in for Michigan.

If you trust those numbers ( they made a mistake with Arizona earlier ) and Biden is 38k ahead of Trump, that would mean Trump would need 49k+ of 60k votes, or just above 80% of remaining votes, to pull ahead.