Shirley wrote: ↑Wed Apr 24, 2024 8:14 am
ousdahl wrote: ↑Wed Apr 24, 2024 8:07 am
I wonder if a guilty verdict would do damage at the ballot box.
It obviously should!
But with this candidate in particular, it wouldn’t be the first time some bombshell that would otherwise end anyone else’s political career has little or even reverse effect
It won't hurt him with his cult, I mean, base, which is ~ 40% of the electorate. But it certainly could hurt him with independent voters, which could be huge.
I said this a week or two ago, but relevant again here - I think I misunderstood the possible impact of convictions.
I still don’t think the
substance of a conviction (especially on these charges) will change anyone’s mind.
But I have come to think the
fact of a conviction will give a modest, but meaningful, portion of Trump voters permission to dump him or simply sit out altogether. That will come with a lot of fake tears, but the result is the result.