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Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:31 pm
by Deleted User 89
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:27 pm
TraditionKU wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:31 pm
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:14 pm
Probably no one doubts that China has suppressed numbers.
Had they reported correctly, our government would have better prepared for the inevitable spread to the US, right, because our experts only respond to the actual numbers China reports.
Fuck that deflection nonsense.
the bolded is utter bs
“we” got caught with our pants down, period
we were never going to be prepared, and still aren’t even though the reality is right in front of us
agree. the (,right,) was suppose to indicate what your reply said.
oh i know...wasn’t trying to call you out or anything
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:33 pm
by DCHawk1
lulz @v geezer still running interference for the CCP.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:36 pm
by Deleted User 89
i think it’s fair bet that the chinese haven't been entirely transparent...their not allowing international experts in originally is proof enough for me
presuming that, had they been transparent, the US response would’ve been substantially different is a whole other story
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:48 pm
by DCHawk1
TraditionKU wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:36 pm
i think it’s fair bet that the chinese haven't been entirely transparent...their not allowing international experts in originally is proof enough for me
presuming that, had they been transparent, the US response would’ve been substantially different is a whole other story
They were far worse than not transparent. They actively and purposefully hid data, arrested whistleblowers, manipulated the WHO, and falsified information about the virus -- and that's just the stuff that can be proven with no effort at all.
And yes, that is a separate and distinct question from whether or not we were properly prepared or took the early warnings seriously.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 8:58 am
by Deleted User 307
268 reported deaths yesterday in US. If Ms. Owen's numbers are correct, then that means that 3.6% of deaths in America are due to COVID-19.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 9:34 am
by Shirley
True:
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 9:45 am
by Shirley
Not surprised:
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:57 am
by twocoach
DCHawk1 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:48 pm
TraditionKU wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:36 pm
i think it’s fair bet that the chinese haven't been entirely transparent...their not allowing international experts in originally is proof enough for me
presuming that, had they been transparent, the US response would’ve been substantially different is a whole other story
They were far worse than not transparent. They actively and purposefully hid data, arrested whistleblowers, manipulated the WHO, and falsified information about the virus -- and that's just the stuff that can be proven with no effort at all.
And yes, that is a separate and distinct question from whether or not we were properly prepared or took the early warnings seriously.
So kinda how we are artificially keeping numbers down by refusing to test people who have been sick or have died?
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 am
by Deleted User 141
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:57 am
DCHawk1 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:48 pm
TraditionKU wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:36 pm
i think it’s fair bet that the chinese haven't been entirely transparent...their not allowing international experts in originally is proof enough for me
presuming that, had they been transparent, the US response would’ve been substantially different is a whole other story
They were far worse than not transparent. They actively and purposefully hid data, arrested whistleblowers, manipulated the WHO, and falsified information about the virus -- and that's just the stuff that can be proven with no effort at all.
And yes, that is a separate and distinct question from whether or not we were properly prepared or took the early warnings seriously.
So kinda how we are artificially keeping numbers down by refusing to test people who have been sick or have died?
As long as you all (all of us) are arguing the semantics from home, It’s about all the average schmuck can do, so keep on keepin on.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:41 am
by Deleted User 307
About 1,000 deaths in Italy on Friday.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:13 pm
by PhDhawk
Vega wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 8:58 am
268 reported deaths yesterday in US. If Ms. Owen's numbers are correct, then that means that 3.6% of deaths in America are due to COVID-19.
What her numbers really mean are,
A. We don't take the threat of infectious diseases seriously enough prior to this
B. We've been really lucky in the past with things like H1N1
Every time I hear someone try to downplay it by comparing it to the flu, I'm like, yeah, the flu is really fucking bad, it kills half a million people every year, and that's in years when the vaccine is really good. This is significantly worse and there's no vaccine and no treatement.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:36 pm
by Deleted User 307
Fun fact, I got H1N1 at KU. My classmate was like person #3 to be diagnosed at KU for it (there were hundreds), and we were in the middle of a massive project together before and after she was diagnosed.
That one hit me hard.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
by twocoach
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 am
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:57 am
DCHawk1 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:48 pm
They were far worse than not transparent. They actively and purposefully hid data, arrested whistleblowers, manipulated the WHO, and falsified information about the virus -- and that's just the stuff that can be proven with no effort at all.
And yes, that is a separate and distinct question from whether or not we were properly prepared or took the early warnings seriously.
So kinda how we are artificially keeping numbers down by refusing to test people who have been sick or have died?
As long as you all (all of us) are arguing the semantics from home, It’s about all the average schmuck can do, so keep on keepin on.
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:03 pm
by jfish26
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 am
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:57 am
So kinda how we are artificially keeping numbers down by refusing to test people who have been sick or have died?
As long as you all (all of us) are arguing the semantics from home, It’s about all the average schmuck can do, so keep on keepin on.
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
The good news, as it were, is that if you've pretty aggressively shut things down for a week or more, you're past the point where you'd expect to show symptoms. Of course there are exceptions (and those tend to be publicized!), but the math is in your favor.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:48 pm
by Deleted User 289
jfish26 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:03 pm
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 am
As long as you all (all of us) are arguing the semantics from home, It’s about all the average schmuck can do, so keep on keepin on.
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
The good news, as it were, is that if you've pretty aggressively shut things down for a week or more, you're past the point where you'd expect to show symptoms. Of course there are exceptions (and those tend to be publicized!), but the math is in your favor.
My guess is less than 30% the people who will get it haven't gotten it yet. I sure hope I'm wrong.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:48 pm
by CrimsonNBlue
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:51 pm
by PhDhawk
Grandma wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:48 pm
jfish26 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:03 pm
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
The good news, as it were, is that if you've pretty aggressively shut things down for a week or more, you're past the point where you'd expect to show symptoms. Of course there are exceptions (and those tend to be publicized!), but the math is in your favor.
My guess is less than 30% the people who will get it haven't gotten it yet. I sure hope I'm wrong.
That's actually a very optimistic number.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:52 pm
by PhDhawk
jfish26 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:03 pm
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
Gqcolorado wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 am
As long as you all (all of us) are arguing the semantics from home, It’s about all the average schmuck can do, so keep on keepin on.
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
The good news, as it were, is that if you've pretty aggressively shut things down for a week or more, you're past the point where you'd expect to show symptoms. Of course there are exceptions (and those tend to be publicized!), but the math is in your favor.
But the clock re-sets every time you have to run to the grocery store, or any other trip out.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 5:03 pm
by defixione
^^^^^
And that is the creepiest thing about this virus.
Re: COVID-19 numbers
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 5:55 pm
by jfish26
PhDhawk wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:52 pm
jfish26 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:03 pm
twocoach wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 2:40 pm
Yep, havent left the house for anything other than a walk around the block in a days now. One trip to Target and one trip to the grocery store are the only times I have been in a car in a week.
As bug as the official numbers are, it does make me wonder what the real numbers are.
The good news, as it were, is that if you've pretty aggressively shut things down for a week or more, you're past the point where you'd expect to show symptoms. Of course there are exceptions (and those tend to be publicized!), but the math is in your favor.
But the clock re-sets every time you have to run to the grocery store, or any other trip out.
The clock resets, yes, but the likelihood is significantly less than when you were just going about your days as normal.