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Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:55 pm
by jfish26
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:34 pm NK supposedly sending troops to fight Ukraine within a month.
They musta finally heard about GWB.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 5:29 pm
by TDub
jfish26 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:55 pm
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:34 pm NK supposedly sending troops to fight Ukraine within a month.
They musta finally heard about GWB.
just clearing a little nazi problem and defending themselves against the tyrannical United States who is, very clearly, responsible for the conflict.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 6:05 pm
by ousdahl
jfish26 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:15 am
DeletedUser wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:10 am I think most of us are willing to acknowledge that throughout our history the US has made mistakes. Lied. Pushed propaganda. Etc.


Do we have to do that each time something happens? Because it seems silly. Russia is the bad guy here. In this instance.

That doesn't mean Ukraine is perfect.

This isn't hard.
Exactly.
I’ve been thinking all day about what or whether to post.

And though I’m tempted to try and respond to every goofy thing, lemme just keep this concise and say…thanks.

This validates a lot for me.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 6:32 pm
by KUTradition
shoulda thought longer and harder

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:29 pm
by Overlander
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:34 pm NK supposedly sending troops to fight Ukraine within a month.
If that happens, this takes a nasty turn

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:30 pm
by KUTradition
i’m guessing France would be first to return the favor

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:33 pm
by Overlander
Send in the FFL

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:35 pm
by Sparko
The nuclear weapons promised to the most dangerous despot on earth for helping them invade Ukraine seem a little badly thought out. Putin being a strategic mastermind and all.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:48 pm
by TDub
Overlander wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:29 pm
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:34 pm NK supposedly sending troops to fight Ukraine within a month.
If that happens, this takes a nasty turn
indeed, and quickly.

I'd like off this timeline, maybe the world really did end in 2012 and this is some sort of alternate reality ha

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 6:36 am
by jfish26
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:48 pm
Overlander wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:29 pm
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 4:34 pm NK supposedly sending troops to fight Ukraine within a month.
If that happens, this takes a nasty turn
indeed, and quickly.

I'd like off this timeline, maybe the world really did end in 2012 and this is some sort of alternate reality ha
Maybe I’m being naive, but - what does it matter?

I understand in a manner of speaking it could be seen as a major escalation…but only if the adults in the room treat it as one.

I think - and hope - that we would use it not as an excuse to disarm NK (cue the flying monkeys!) but as a logical reason to expand Ukraine’s ability to weaken Russia behind its own borders. Which serves all of the goals.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 8:07 am
by Sparko
Disarming a crazy psychopath is a rational decision before it is too late. But he has generations of weapons. There is a Hobson's choice with NK. Risky no matter what. Disarm or not is probably going to lead to disaster

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:04 am
by TDub
jfish26 wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 6:36 am
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:48 pm
Overlander wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:29 pm

If that happens, this takes a nasty turn
indeed, and quickly.

I'd like off this timeline, maybe the world really did end in 2012 and this is some sort of alternate reality ha
Maybe I’m being naive, but - what does it matter?

I understand in a manner of speaking it could be seen as a major escalation…but only if the adults in the room treat it as one.

I think - and hope - that we would use it not as an excuse to disarm NK (cue the flying monkeys!) but as a logical reason to expand Ukraine’s ability to weaken Russia behind its own borders. Which serves all of the goals.
I think it matters because it represents a fairly significant escalation and brings us one giant leap forward towards a world War type conflict.

1. It would mean a non directly involved country with boots on the ground in a part of the world a continent away.

2. It would mean another player actively helping invade a sovereign nation....I see a big difference between defense assistance and invasion assistance.

3. Will it "break the dam"? If and when they were to engage with troops, that opens the door for EU, US, countries to reciprocate and the potential for that to get out of control quickly exists.

4. North Korea hasn't been in a conflict in 50 years. They are desperate and desperate people do dangerous things.

5. What did Putin promise Kim? My assumption is that it involves some sort of Nuclear knowledge, I would prefer NK not become any more Nuclear capable.


Now, on the flipside, we might have a bunch of NK soldiers thay sre exposed to the outside world for the first time ever and perhaps they can bring reality back to NK and break the Kim spell.

There is also the possibility of a mass exodus of soldiers using th3 opportunity as a way to defect. Neither of those lessen the impact of the previous concerns though

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:05 am
by jfish26
Sparko wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 8:07 am Disarming a crazy psychopath is a rational decision before it is too late. But he has generations of weapons. There is a Hobson's choice with NK. Risky no matter what. Disarm or not is probably going to lead to disaster
I agree with you. I just feel that - as obviously deserving at it would be - attacking NK here would be an affirmative choice to expand the envelope of the conflict.

Of fucking course it would really just be a logical response to Russia and NK making that affirmative choice.

But in my view the price of responding with direct force is too high.

Which I know cuts against my bona fides as an agent of the warmongering military industrial complex/Bush-Cheney right.

I contain multitudes.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:06 am
by jfish26
TDub wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:04 am
jfish26 wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 6:36 am
TDub wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2024 10:48 pm

indeed, and quickly.

I'd like off this timeline, maybe the world really did end in 2012 and this is some sort of alternate reality ha
Maybe I’m being naive, but - what does it matter?

I understand in a manner of speaking it could be seen as a major escalation…but only if the adults in the room treat it as one.

I think - and hope - that we would use it not as an excuse to disarm NK (cue the flying monkeys!) but as a logical reason to expand Ukraine’s ability to weaken Russia behind its own borders. Which serves all of the goals.
I think it matters because it represents a fairly significant escalation and brings us one giant leap forward towards a world War type conflict.

1. It would mean a non directly involved country with boots on the ground in a part of the world a continent away.

2. It would mean another player actively helping invade a sovereign nation....I see a big difference between defense assistance and invasion assistance.

3. Will it "break the dam"? If and when they were to engage with troops, that opens the door for EU, US, countries to reciprocate and the potential for that to get out of control quickly exists.

4. North Korea hasn't been in a conflict in 50 years. They are desperate and desperate people do dangerous things.

5. What did Putin promise Kim? My assumption is that it involves some sort of Nuclear knowledge, I would prefer NK not become any more Nuclear capable.


Now, on the flipside, we might have a bunch of NK soldiers thay sre exposed to the outside world for the first time ever and perhaps they can bring reality back to NK and break the Kim spell.

There is also the possibility of a mass exodus of soldiers using th3 opportunity as a way to defect. Neither of those lessen the impact of the previous concerns though
I agree with everything you said. I would still lean toward strategic restraint.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:38 am
by Sparko
There are those who believe a new Korean War is part of Putin's October Surprise gift. I read an article month or so ago gaming this out. Seems pretty out there until you look at TDub's concern #5. He promised unknown things.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:45 am
by jfish26
Sparko wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:38 am There are those who believe a new Korean War is part of Putin's October Surprise gift. I read an article month or so ago gaming this out. Seems pretty out there until you look at TDub's concern #5. He promised unknown things.
I struggle to see how that would help Trump get elected, though, which is Putin's goal.

I suppose the play could be some ham-fisted, peacenik-exploiting hostagetaking: "If the Americans elect that belligerent warmonger Biden, that imperialist tool of the military industrial complex, then Russia will have no choice but to defend the North Korean people from NATO's aggression by supplying North Korea with offensive weapons."

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:56 am
by MICHHAWK
russia can't beat ukraine in a war.

nk. russia. 3rd world $#!tholes.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 10:04 am
by jfish26
MICHHAWK wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:56 am russia can't beat ukraine in a war.

nk. russia. 3rd world $#!tholes.
And yet, you will not vote for the person who stands between us and shadow-alliances with each of NK and Russia.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 10:16 am
by TDub
jfish26 wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:06 am
TDub wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 9:04 am
jfish26 wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2024 6:36 am

Maybe I’m being naive, but - what does it matter?

I understand in a manner of speaking it could be seen as a major escalation…but only if the adults in the room treat it as one.

I think - and hope - that we would use it not as an excuse to disarm NK (cue the flying monkeys!) but as a logical reason to expand Ukraine’s ability to weaken Russia behind its own borders. Which serves all of the goals.
I think it matters because it represents a fairly significant escalation and brings us one giant leap forward towards a world War type conflict.

1. It would mean a non directly involved country with boots on the ground in a part of the world a continent away.

2. It would mean another player actively helping invade a sovereign nation....I see a big difference between defense assistance and invasion assistance.

3. Will it "break the dam"? If and when they were to engage with troops, that opens the door for EU, US, countries to reciprocate and the potential for that to get out of control quickly exists.

4. North Korea hasn't been in a conflict in 50 years. They are desperate and desperate people do dangerous things.

5. What did Putin promise Kim? My assumption is that it involves some sort of Nuclear knowledge, I would prefer NK not become any more Nuclear capable.


Now, on the flipside, we might have a bunch of NK soldiers thay sre exposed to the outside world for the first time ever and perhaps they can bring reality back to NK and break the Kim spell.

There is also the possibility of a mass exodus of soldiers using th3 opportunity as a way to defect. Neither of those lessen the impact of the previous concerns though
I agree with everything you said. I would still lean toward strategic restraint.
I agree with that, but I do think it would signal a significant escalation. I also don't know how long Europe (or U.S) would allow continued escalation without a measured but harsh response. Which, of course, could lead any number of places.

Re: Let’s have a war!

Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2024 10:18 am
by MICHHAWK
this all seems like a europe problem.