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Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:24 am
by jfish26
That's a good point.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:56 am
by twocoach
I'd say the ration of Biden ads I am seeing here in NE District 2 is 5 to 1 Biden to Trump. They were very heavy during the NBA game last night.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:18 am
by Mjl
twocoach wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:56 am
I'd say the ration of Biden ads I am seeing here in NE District 2 is 5 to 1 Biden to Trump. They were very heavy during the NBA game last night.
That could very easily be the key electoral vote. If you give Biden Nevada, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, and Trump everything else, that's 269 electors for Biden. Omaha would bump that to the clinching 270.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:23 am
by jfish26
Mjl wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:18 am
twocoach wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:56 am
I'd say the ration of Biden ads I am seeing here in NE District 2 is 5 to 1 Biden to Trump. They were very heavy during the NBA game last night.
That could very easily be the key electoral vote. If you give Biden Nevada, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, and Trump everything else, that's 269 electors for Biden. Omaha would bump that to the clinching 270.
I...am not sure there's a realistic scenario where Biden gets those states and does not win in a landslide? Maybe I'm thinking about it wrong?
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
by Deleted User 318
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:27 am
by Deleted User 318
jfish26 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:23 am
Mjl wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:18 am
twocoach wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:56 am
I'd say the ration of Biden ads I am seeing here in NE District 2 is 5 to 1 Biden to Trump. They were very heavy during the NBA game last night.
That could very easily be the key electoral vote. If you give Biden Nevada, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, and Trump everything else, that's 269 electors for Biden. Omaha would bump that to the clinching 270.
I...am not sure there's a realistic scenario where Biden gets those states and does not win in a landslide? Maybe I'm thinking about it wrong?
Here's a very realistic map where NE2 could be deciding between 269 or 270
https://www.270towin.com/maps/n7NpD
edit: site going slow... Image for the impatient
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:36 am
by jfish26
Man. I just don't see Trump getting Michigan and Ohio and North Carolina and Georgia and Florida and Iowa.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:41 am
by sdoyel
jfish26 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:36 am
Man. I just don't see Trump getting Michigan and Ohio and North Carolina and Georgia and Florida and Iowa.
Ain’t happenin’
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:44 am
by Deleted User 318
jfish26 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:36 am
Man. I just don't see Trump getting Michigan and Ohio and North Carolina and Georgia and Florida and Iowa.
I said same thing four years ago. I thought 2016 would be the start of the dark ages of the GOP, as after Trump got defeated, it would've been rutterless a la 2017 Dems.
I think Ohio/GA/FL/Iowa are all going red this go. I think Michigan flips back to Blue. That happens, and PA goes Blue, you are still only at 302 for Biden. If you start with 2016 map, give Biden back MI and WI, you are still only at 256. Biden either needs a tough, GOP leaning state, or two more purple states. You are trusting a lot of things, such as GOP state legs and GOP courts, to not play dirtier than ever. Trump is trying to jam this in the courts, which is why I hope people actually turn out this go. If everyone that can and should votes, votes, and it's counted, Biden sweeps. But we are in a very precarious pre-election cycle here.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:45 am
by Mjl
NiceDC wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
Whoa, what do we have different?
You do the exact same map on RCP and you get 270-268 for Biden
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:54 am
by Deleted User 289
Of course he did.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:57 am
by twocoach
NiceDC wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
My crazy cousin lives in PA and Republicans there are very motivated to vote because they find the actions taken by their Dem governor in regards to COVID to be too much. It will be interesting to see if Trump can score a victory there.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:58 am
by Deleted User 318
twocoach wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:57 am
NiceDC wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
My crazy cousin lives in PA and Republicans there are very motivated to vote because they find the actions taken by their Dem governor in regards to COVID to be too much. It will be interesting to see if Trump can score a victory there.
My wife is from PA, we used to live there, and we still have a lot of family in PA. It's shifted heavily to the right in the last five years. It's crazy.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 11:53 am
by Mjl
NiceDC wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
I think you overestimate Trump's chances in Hawaii
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 11:55 am
by Deleted User 318
Mjl wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 11:53 am
NiceDC wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:24 am
My nightmare map. If I was Trump, I'd focus on threading this needle. It sounds like the Trump campaign has been mostly dark in PA, which he needs. But a large push there might be planned in the last month.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/xryG7
I think you overestimate Trump's chances in Hawaii
!!! I blame the website. I did not have Hawaii as Trump, lol.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:05 pm
by jfish26
If Hawai'i goes Trump, I'll eat 7YH's shorts.
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:23 pm
by Deleted User 318
jfish26 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 12:05 pm
If Hawai'i goes Trump, I'll eat 7YH's shorts.
Why suicide when you have so much to live for!
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 2:01 pm
by Deleted User 318
Yeesh
https://www.newsweek.com/proud-boys-tru ... ly-1535645
Proud Boys Members Appear in Official Trump Campaign Video
Supporters of the far-right Proud Boys group can be seen in an official President Donald Trump campaign video released earlier this year following a rally in Colorado.
The arms of one person holding a MAGA hat and wearing a black and yellow Proud Boys jacket can be seen towards the end of video, parts of which were filmed at Trump's rally at the Broadmoor World Arena in Colorado Springs in February.
A similar black and yellow jacket can also be seen briefly earlier in the video, entitled "Stronger."
The Colorado Times Recorder first identified the people in the clip as belonging to the group of several Proud Boys members who attended the rally in matching jackets.
The group were also photographed flashing the "OK" hand symbol—a gesture that has been simultaneously co-opted by the far-right to show a support for white supremacy as well as a trolling tactic to trick the media and liberals into thinking the fingers spell out WP (white power).
The OK hand gesture was added to the Anti-Defamation League's database of hateful symbols in September 2019.
"We are aligned with Trump in that we believe in America First," one of the Proud Boys supporters at the rally, who only wished to be identified as Nate, previously told the Colorado Times Recorder....
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 2:59 pm
by Deleted User 289
Which one of you _______________ will freely admit you will vote for this guy?
Which one of you ___________ will freely admit you think this snide ____________ does a good job?
Re: Dumbfuck in charge
Posted: Thu Oct 01, 2020 3:43 pm
by jhawks99
Take me to the River