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Re: DNC
Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2020 8:53 pm
by Mjl
And now seeing bumps in local polls in NC and GA... Can you talk me off the ledge on those?
Tomorrow will be interesting to see the effect in the rust belt.
Re: DNC
Posted: Wed Sep 02, 2020 8:20 am
by Deleted User 318
Mjl wrote: ↑Tue Sep 01, 2020 8:53 pm
And now seeing bumps in local polls in NC and GA... Can you talk me off the ledge on those?
Tomorrow will be interesting to see the effect in the rust belt.
NC and GA are not necessary for the president. I care about GA for senate purposes, and I think Harris will have good pull to bring out black voters in the state.
A ton of quality polling released this morning. Haven't dug into them, but Biden general is still up 7-8 points. That is still a massive margin that we haven't seen since Reagan 1984 if it holds.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
Re: DNC
Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2020 9:05 am
by Deleted User 318
Mjl wrote: ↑Tue Sep 01, 2020 8:53 pm
And now seeing bumps in local polls in NC and GA... Can you talk me off the ledge on those?
Tomorrow will be interesting to see the effect in the rust belt.
New quality polling showing Biden +2 in NC, and no new polling in GA. Arizona, which Trump needs unless he runs the rust belt again, breaking hard Biden. +10 Morning Consult, and +9 Fox News.
I've been digging into the numbers, and older folks are breaking Biden in retirement states. Trump is entrenching in working white men over 35, but that's about the only thing going Trump's way.
Re: DNC
Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2020 9:31 am
by Mjl
NiceDC wrote: ↑Fri Sep 04, 2020 9:05 am
Mjl wrote: ↑Tue Sep 01, 2020 8:53 pm
And now seeing bumps in local polls in NC and GA... Can you talk me off the ledge on those?
Tomorrow will be interesting to see the effect in the rust belt.
New quality polling showing Biden +2 in NC, and no new polling in GA. Arizona, which Trump needs unless he runs the rust belt again, breaking hard Biden. +10 Morning Consult, and +9 Fox News.
I've been digging into the numbers, and older folks are breaking Biden in retirement states. Trump is entrenching in working white men over 35, but that's about the only thing going Trump's way.
Yep, saw that yesterday. Good.
